And we’re off! … to another Kentucky Derby week.
That means it’s time to start checking the early odds on the potential contenders and to start thinking about who to bet on.
Here’s some news you can use to hopefully win money: We asked Kevin Kerstein, a race analyst and publicity manager at Churchill Downs, to give us some insider tips for novices. Instead of keeping these for ourselves, we’re sharing them with you. Here’s what he told us:
1. Don’t look too far down the odds list for a winner
According to Kerstein, favorites have won about 30 percent of the 142 runnings of the Derby. Even if the odds are lower than those for other horses, you’ll still win a nice sum. But that longshot you like? There’s a place for it in your wagers, so stay tuned.
2. There’s such a thing as home-field advantage
Horses who have raced at Churchill Downs tend to be more comfortable in familiar surroundings. And a comfortable thoroughbred is a relaxed thoroughbred, and a relaxed thoroughbred … okay, you’ve got the idea. Kerstein pointed to McCraken, a contender who has won three races at Churchill Downs in the past year.
3. Save your longshots for the exotic wagers
If there’s a longshot you like, you can throw it in on wagers like a superfecta — the first four finishers, in order — or a “box” superfecta in which you can pick four horses to finish in any order.
4. Look hard at the horses and their jockeys right before the race
If you’ve watched the Derby or other Triple Crown horse races, you know the thoroughbreds have to parade through the track to get to the starting gate. And that’s where Kerstein — who worked for a couple of years analyzing horses training the morning of races — said you can find out a lot about a horse.
“Look for a horse that looks happy,” he noted. “Some horses like to act up and have a mind of their own. If a horse acts out, he’ll use energy. You don’t want to see them burn energy. That means they’re ready to run right now, but the first time you see them on the track, they have 10 to 12 minutes before the race.”
Keep an eye on horses who are walking in a relaxed manner and whose ears are pricked. That’s a horse saving some energy for the race. If you see a jockey standing up, it’s possible he’s trying to calm the throughbred down.
5. Wait until the last minute to make your bet
Did you hear what Kerstein just said? Good. That’s why you might want to wait to place your bet. Plus, if there’s a horse you like whose odds might get longer as the day goes on, there’s a chance you’ll get optimal value on your bet.
All of the above was kindly provided from http://ftw.usatoday.com/2017/05/kentucky-derby-2017-odds-betting-tips-win-money-classic-empire. For others stories like this please visit their website.